
By Justin Delacour
Latin America News Review
May 8, 2006
A little scrutiny of a recent Associated Press report about Venezuela provides a lesson in how the English-language press often gets the story wrong. Take the first sentence: "President Hugo Chavez said Saturday that Venezuelan voters should have the chance to decide whether he should govern the country for the next 25 years."
No, such a referendum would not be about "whether he should govern the country for the next 25 years." A referendum would be about whether Chavez would be permitted to run every six years and --in the event that he were to continue winning elections-- serve multiple presidential terms. The AP report's opening sentence makes it sound as if such a referendum would do away with elections in Venezuela, as if its intent would be to grant Chavez a new 25-year term in office! The website of The Calgary Sun even titles the wire report "Chavez seeking 25-year term"!!
This is obviously an extremely poor piece of reporting. Chavez made it clear that, if the opposition committed to participating in the upcoming presidential election, he would not convoke a referendum to end presidential term limits. He explained that the intent of his threat to convoke such a referendum was not to perpetuate himself in power but rather to defend the Bolivarian Revolution.
Fortunately, Agence France Press (AFP) got the story right. The opening sentence of AFP's Spanish-language report reads, "Venezuelan president Hugo Chavez claimed Saturday that, if the opposition decides not to run candidates in the December presidential election, he could decree a referendum to permit his reelection for multiple terms until 2031."
So the choice for the opposition is simple. If they don't want a referendum that would end presidential term limits, they shouldn't pull out of the upcoming presidential election. As far as I'm concerned, the threat of a referendum is a perfectly reasonable (and democratic) way to dissuade the opposition from trying to delegitimize Venezuela's electoral process.
When Venezuela's opposition knows it's going to lose an election, it has a tendency to try to delegitimize the electoral process. Instead of facing up to the fact that it is unpopular, the business-led opposition tries to shift the blame for its electoral misfortunes to the National Electoral Council (CNE). The opposition claims that the CNE could commit "fraud" and that the vote might not be secret. Opposition conspiracy theories of this nature are legion. Never mind that there have been international observers on hand that have testified to the fairness of Venezuela's elections. Never mind that even the opposition's own polls show that Chavez is much more popular than they are.
In other words, many members of the opposition aren't really interested in trying to win elections because they know that they lack popular support. Many in the opposition prefer, instead, to try to create the impression internationally that Venezuela's electoral process is illegitimate.
One has to understand that, given the combination of the opposition's economic interests and political incompetence, it is very desperate. Since it is unable to attract popular support domestically, the opposition resorts to attempts to draw more U.S. hostility toward Chavez in hopes that such hostility might somehow weaken or destroy his presidency. Electoral boycotts are part and parcel of this strategy. The opposition wants to create the (false) impression internationally that Venezuela is another Ukraine and that Chavez wins elections by "fraud," etc. etc. That's what Chavez is up against.
OAS General Secretary Jose Miguel Insulza effectively summed up the problem that Chavez faces when he said the following about the opposition's boycott of legislative elections last December:
"We had a problem with the Venezuelan opposition, which assured us that they would not withdraw from the [electoral] process if certain conditions were met. These were met and, despite this, they withdrew."
Insulza continued, "if the path of abstention is chosen, then one cannot complain that the entire parliament is in the hands of one's political adversary."
38 comments:
justin, thanks for the clarification. thats good news as far as i am concerned. if it had indeed been the other way around i'd venture to guess chavez's credibility would have vanished round the world.
i'd like to ask you, while i have your attention, what you make of the observer article on chavez. i thought it was mostly balanced, but i did not realize in what a sorry shape the economy is in venezuela. i realize chavez inherited a lot of that, but it makes me wonder whether the chavez govt. is economically sustainable. i mean, as long as it has oil money, it will be able to maintain all the state programs and keep many people content. and i support a lot of the social programs that he is doing. but, long-term, even short-term, i fear the economy, if beaumont is correct in his conclusion, the lack of economic development progress will undermine the chavez revolution. looks like chavez needs to put in place an economic development plan less dependent on the oil sector, right or wrong? would appreciate your knowledgable opinion on that issue and if you can also point me to other articles on the subject would be great.
It's really late here, Brian, and I have to finish up with some work, so I'll get back to your query later.
Justin
Great article, thanks.
This type of story is what makes this blog great. I almost was believing the AP story.
I reprinted your post at my blog. I gave your blog credit.
When I post about Chavez, I get the hottest discussion at my blog.
Now the fact that the nutcase is trying to emulate his buddy-buddy Fidel is an invention from AP. Obviously the world is directed to a take over by the NWO in the faces of people like you and you would still blame it to the AP and Bush. Well guys we obviously live on a parallel universe but certainly we don't live on the same reality... congratulations on your expertise in Venezuela.
"As far as I'm concerned, the threat of a referendum is a perfectly reasonable (and democratic) way to dissuade the opposition from trying to delegitimize Venezuela's electoral process.
When Venezuela's opposition knows it's going to lose an election, it has a tendency to try to delegitimize the electoral process. Instead of facing up to the fact that it is unpopular, the business-led opposition tries to shift the blame for its electoral misfortunes to the National Electoral Council (CNE)."
As long as Hugo Chavez and his mafia family keep the electronic voting with the possibility to create more Maisanta and Tascon lists, there is the chance of comitt fraud too. Hugo Chavez should really show his democratic intention allowing manual vote, and people from all walk of lives should be able to audit the counting process, and also he should name a fair bipartisan electoral council. As you know, the first thing the chavista new president of the electoral council forbid two days ago, was to make the election manual, which was the main petition of the opposition. Obviously, Chavez don't want any approach or to make ends meet with the opposition, or to find a solution to end this political crisis. He still wants to continue the conflic, since is in his best interest.
If he is that popular, as he claim he is, he shouldn't be afraid of a manual vote process, with a clean electoral list, and audit from the citizens. Why not?
"...and you would still blame it to the AP and Bush."
Should have been more clear, not that your president is not involved in this mess too. They claim to hate each other (Bush-Chavez) but they are the best business partners.
Sorry my grammar errors... late in here
Good nite
FeathersMcGraw
Polls including those conducted by opposition owned media show Chavez is popular. Numerous NGO's have monitered the elections and shown them to be fair.
Your argument seems to be that there is a remote chance fraud could be committed. Not much of an argument.
"Justin
Great article, thanks."
Thanks for posting the piece on your blog. I added "The Heart of the Beast" to my links.
Best,
Justin
"I reprinted your post at my blog."
Thanks for reposting it, Renegade Eye. It's important that folks understand that AP did a hack job on that story.
Brandon, again, that's what the opposition wants. If Chavez is as popular as he claim he is, again, he should COOPERATE to make this work so all the parties involved in this elections are happy and at the end, whoever winds won't have the shadow of the doubt on the back of their minds. The Maisanta and Tascon lists are used against people who voted against the chavismo, and they were elaborated it from records from the previous electronic elections. So, if you can records this, you can do many other thinggs electronically with data. The research is there. I don 't know where you come from, but I am sure you wouldn't like to have who you voted for recorded and used it against you in case the other party wins. It's easy to you to disregard this petition since obviously you don't belong to the party affected.
"whoever winds won't have the shadow of the doubt on the back of their minds."
should have been said = whoever wins will be ok and the population won't have the shadow of the doubt in the back of their minds.
There's nothing to doubt, Feathers. With economic conditions as good as they are, Chavez has this election in the bag. Even if we were to assume the worst, the CNE wouldn't have any reason to commit fraud because Chavez has so much popular support.
I want to make sure that if he wins, he does it properly. Is that much to ask dear friend?
Thank you, Justin. We need more of this type of scrutiny of the media/press of what otherwise we might swallow without much critical thought.
I am linking to this as well. Keep up the great work
"I am linking to this as well. Keep up the great work"
Thanks, Graeme. I saw the piece in which you stated, "If there is anything good to come out of Bush's insane foreign policy, it is the loosening of the economic stranglehold on Latin America."
I agree completely. Unfortunately, my guess is that the imperialist machine will soon start trying to put the screws on Latin America again.
I'm about to add your blog to my links. Thanks again.
Best,
Justin
It's great that there are warriors for truth out there like you. The current administration is trying to sponsor another coup attempt against Chavez and the right wing nutters are telling everyone not to buy CITGO. I did a few posts on Venezuela myself. Here is the link. Chavez and CITGO Keep up the good work. We need to keep the truth out there.
THANK YOU.
I don't mean to disturb you but I really want people to be aware about that
subject, because today, tomorrow, in the next half hour, it could happen to
us too!
Imagine if you were suddenly accused of being a child molester.....
Imagine if nobody believed you when you cried out that you were innocent....
Imagine if you were separated from your children and sent to prison for
life....
Some people don't have to imagine. It really happened to them !
Please read those people stories and then make your own decision !
1. http://www.thepetitionsite.com/takeaction/452154813
2. http://www.thepetitionsite.com/takeaction/470628250?ltl=1152942335
3. http://www.thepetitionsite.com/takeaction/512966888?ltl=1154759759
Last year over two million American families were falsely accused of child
abuse!!!
Please don't just say no, give it a chance,please. True inof, some local
media avenues are already shedding light on this, but we need a bigger voice
or it won't change. Someone the PEOPLE will listen to,
Sincerely
Suncana Sesic Alvarado
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