Thursday, June 24, 2010
Latin America news roundup - June 28, 2010
TOP STORY - One Year After Coup, Honduras Repression Continues (Democracy Now!)
Bolivia - The U.S. Paid Money to Support Hugo Banzer’s 1971 Coup in Bolivia (Digital Emunction)
Colombia - Far Worse than Watergate (WOLA)
Honduras - One Year Later: Honduras Resistance Strong Despite US Supported Coup (¡Presente!)
Honduras - Honduras failing to tackle coup rights abuses (Amnesty International)
Latin America - The high cost of neoliberalism (New Statesman)
Latin America - Tax gap and equity in Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC)
World - Cuts in social welfare spending also cost lives: study (AFP)
World - Naomi Klein: The Real Crime Scene Was Inside the G20 Summit (Democracy Now!)
World - The Iranian Threat (ZNet)
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18 comments:
The report on the espionage by the Colombian government is very incomplete as it does not include recent information about the espionage on Ecuador's president Rafael Correa. It seems like Uribe was not happy with only monitoring the opposition, journalists and Colombian courts but needed to infiltrate neighboring countries.
The funny thing, there are still some people in Colombia who say that Uribe's was a good government.
I've always been disturbed by how Uribe never seems to get blamed for the DAS scandals.
Seeing as you obviously know a lot about Colombian politics, Julian, what's your take on why Santos won the presidential election by such a large margin?
I think you've missed this one:
http://tiny.cc/i8fzc
Hey Anonymous, thanks for the heads up on Brazil. It had fallen off my radar.
Welcome, Jesus.
The Reuters article says that's the first time Rousseff has surpassed Serra on a poll. That's not quite true. The previous month, two different statistics institutes - Sensus and Vox Populi - reported Rousseff had surpassed Serra. Serra's party, the PSDB, reacted so hysterically to the Sensus report, it threatened to sue Sensus. They dropped the threat afterwards.
So, it's the first time Rousseff has surpassed Serra on a IBOPE poll. IBOPE is a nonpartisan statistics institute, but yesteryear its president made a series of media statements that were clearly pro-Serra. He had even predicted Serra would win even without a runoff election. Considering that, many in the Brazilian left believe that Rousseff's advantage is even higher than that reported by IBOPE. That's also my opinion.
Thanks for that story, anonymous. I don't update the blog enough to catch all the important stories, but I'll be sure to include that one in my next news round-up.
Best,
Justin
By the way, it really seems Serra's campaign is about to collapse.
June 23, the day before IBOPE released its report to the media, Fernando Henrique Cardoso had privately confided some journalist he didn't believe Serra could win the elections. Cardoso is a former president of Brazil and major figure of Serra's party.
June 25, the opposition campaign intelligentsia commenced to look for a running mate for Serra. Only three and a half months before the elections, and he hadn't yet been able to officially announce one. At that day, no less than three opposition politicians were asked if they would be willing to be Serra's running mate. All three declined. One of them, Valeria Franco, from the DEM party, even told a journalist she was frightened by the prospect of being Serra's mate.
June 26, PSDB announced Serra's running-mate: Álvaro Dias, from the PSDB. For a number of reasons that's an awful choice. Now, PSDB's greatest ally, the DEM, is threatening to drop out from the coalition, because it insists Serra's mate be from the DEM. If the DEM is to quit the coalition - something the party will decide tomorrow - Serra will lose 2 minutes from the slot time his TV campaign currently has at its disposal (~6 min).
In my opinion, even if the DEM is to remain by PSDB's side, the political damage caused by the dispute between the parties is hardly reversible. DEM and PSDB politicians even exchanged slights over tweeter - all properly reported by the media.
Thanks Justin. I wrote a response to your question but it's too long for putting it here, so I posted it in my blog. The link is here:
http://julianarevalob.blogspot.com/2010/06/some-reasons-behind-landslide-in-recent.html
Let me know what you think.
Best,
Julian
Thanks for the reply, Julian. Your analysis seems sensible to me. The Colombianist historian Charles Bergquist has written about how the persistence of a guerrilla movement has done great damage to the Colombian Left in general because it leads many Colombians to associate all the Left with guerrillas. I made the same point in a discussion over at Two Weeks Notice. The FARC would be doing the Left a big favor if it would just disarm. It is so tragic that the FARC persists with a clearly failed strategy.
Thanks Justin. I am going to check it out.
I added your blog to my links, Julian.
Best,
Justin
Thanks, yours is in my list too.
Hey Justin,
Thanks for posting our report, Far Worse than Watergate. We just came out with an updated version with some key changes. You can find it and download it here:
English: http://www.lawg.org/storage/lawg/colombia/farworsethanwatergatefinalfinal.pdf
Español: http://www.lawg.org/storage/lawg/colombia/farworsethanwatergatefinalfinal.pdf
Sorry for the inconvenience and we hope you'll make this switch so you can have the most updated one possible!
Saludos,
Vanessa Kritzer
Latin America Working Group
That’s great to hear! Please let us know what you think of it. I am greatly enjoying it, myself. Thanks for the update.
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